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Mercor

Geopolitics Forecaster

berlin, berlin, germany / Posted
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1. Role Overview

Mercor is collaborating with a leading AI lab on a cutting-edge research initiative involving top superforecasters from around the world. We’re seeking geopolitical experts to contribute high-quality predictions and analytical reasoning on major international developments. This contract-based opportunity allows professionals to apply their domain expertise in a unique setting focused on enhancing AI reasoning models.

2. Key Responsibilities

  • Produce structured forecasts on geopolitical events, risks, and regional dynamics
  • Document your reasoning clearly, citing relevant sources and frameworks
  • Assess political, military, and diplomatic developments using open-source intelligence
  • Collaborate with other expert forecasters to compare and refine outputs
  • Support the design and evaluation of forecasting tasks


3. Ideal Qualifications

  • Background in political science, international relations, security studies, or related fields
  • Demonstrated forecasting experience or tournament participation (e.g., GJ Open, Metaculus)
  • Ability to synthesize complex geopolitical information into structured insights
  • Excellent written communication and research skills
  • Familiarity with current global events and international affairs


4. More About the Opportunity

  • Remote and asynchronous — work on your own schedule
  • Expected commitment: :10–20 hours/week


5. Compensation & Contract Terms

  • $105–125/hour for U.S.-based applicants
  • You’ll be classified as an independent contractor


6. Application Process

  • Submit your Mercor profile or resume to get started
  • You’ll complete a brief form
  • We’ll follow up within a few days with next steps


7. About Mercor

  • Mercor is a talent marketplace that connects top experts with leading AI labs and research organizations
  • Our investors include Benchmark, General Catalyst, Adam D’Angelo, Larry Summers, and Jack Dorsey
  • Thousands of professionals across domains like law, creatives, engineering, and research have joined Mercor to work on frontier projects shaping the next era of AI